Jessica Pegula vs Liudmila Samsonova Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Samsonova has a second serve point win rate of 41.75% in the past six months, slightly lower than Pegula's 44.21%. Could this impact the overall match prediction?
• Both players show distinct strengths in their return games. Samsonova excels in returning second serve points with a 52.01% success rate, surpassing Pegula's 46.98%. However, for first serve returns, Pegula edges out slightly with 30.06% compared to Samsonova's 28.55%.
• While under pressure, Pegula has saved 51.57% of breakpoints recently, providing a marginal advantage over Samsonova's 48.8% in pressure-filled moments.
• In a broader performance context, Pegula holds a stronger win rate over the last year with 73.33% in victories, outpacing Samsonova's 54.72%.
• Surface preferences reveal Samsonova's best performance on Grass with a 66% win rate, contrasting Pegula's best on Hard courts at 67%.
• In the context of recent Masters series matches, Pegula has won 68.57% compared to Samsonova's 52.38%.
• Head-to-head, Pegula leads with four victories to Samsonova's one, showing a dominance in 13 sets played with 9 wins over Samsonova's 4.
• Past encounters lasted an average of about 1 hour and 38 minutes, often favoring Pegula who has won more deciding set matches.
• Against higher-ranked opponents in the last year, Pegula has faced higher-ranked adversaries, with an average opponent ranking of 53.04 compared to Samsonova's 63.36.
• If the match draws into a deciding set, Pegula's 65% win rate over the past year significantly outshines Samsonova's 42%.
• When it comes to converting break points, Samsonova's recent form shows a marginal edge at 35.32% conversion over Pegula's 34.44%.

Editorial Prediction (June 17, 2025, UTC):

Both players showcase distinct strengths that could tip the balance in a close match. While Samsonova excels in return games, especially against second serves, Pegula’s consistent upper hand in head-to-head encounters gives her an edge.

Pegula's superior performance in match wins over the past year, coupled with her higher efficacy in pressure situations and against stronger opponents, suggests a likely advantage. Although surface preference plays a role, with Samsonova favoring grass, the hard court background may favor Pegula additionally.

Considering their breakdown of head-to-head results and recent statistics, Jessica Pegula emerges as the likely winner for this upcoming match.